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US and China to restart trade talksMeeting expected in early OctoberChinese stocks jump 1%
The changes of a US-China trade deal anytime soon are thin, warns Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior market analyst at London Capital Group.
She suspects Donald Trump could be tempted to inflame the situation, to encourage US central bankers to cut interest rates.
With only a slim chance of a trade deal, all investors ask is at least the continuation of the trade talks.
It is uncertain whether Trump would attempt to cool down the trade war moving into the presidential election year, or he would continue fanning the flames and using it as a tool to exercise an increased pressure on the Federal Reserve for lower interest rates
Japan’s stock market has hit its highest level in a month, on hopes that the US-China trade war could be easing.
The lift in risk sentiment appears mitigated by the concern that the latest positive developments surrounding the US-China trade impasse may prove fleeting and do not yet fully nullify the downside risks to the global economy.
In order for risk sentiment to push significantly higher, markets will need to be shown material signs that US and China are indeed drawing closer to a meaningful and lasting trade deal. Existing tariffs need to be dismantled in order to alleviate pressures on the global economy.
Read more: theguardian.com